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AI’s Speed Crash: The Structural Bull Market Isn’t Over
Jordi Visser
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Overview
In this weekly market video, macro investor Jordi Visser argues that the sharp “speed crash” in AI stocks — the worst tech-momentum unwind on record — is a healthy digestion period, not the top of the structural AI bull market. He explains how AI agents, leverage, and vol control have permanently changed market structure (“faster up, faster down”), why booming earnings and insatiable compute demand keep the bull case intact, and why memory chips and crypto are where he is putting money to work.
Key Points
•
This is a “speed crash,” not a cycle top: Markets have shifted from “manias, panics, and crashes” to “bubbles, parabolas, and speed crashes” — faster up, faster down, structurally different — with momentum-chasing AI agents and leverage driving the Morgan Stanley tech-momentum factor down ~40% in 18 days, its worst unwind since data began in 1998. [02:30]
•
The “firework show is over” — digestion, not the end: Visser flagged in early June that agentic AI was moving from discovery to digestion, so giving back ~40% of the post-Opus-4.5 rally is no surprise. [05:00]
•
Earnings are booming across the board: With 43 names into the S&P 500 season the sales surprise is 4% and the earnings surprise 16%, JP Morgan beat by 34% (stock +10% at record highs) and Goldman by 45%, and Jamie Dimon calls it “as good as it gets.” [08:33]
•
Ignore the AI-debt scare — compute demand is insatiable: Hyperscaler debt-to-equity is next to nothing and they are effectively government-protected in the race against China, with not enough compute for the coming billions of agents for at least four years. [11:42]
•
AI agents have permanently changed market structure: With more trading run by non-emotional agents, factor volatility has spiked to unprecedented levels and “hundred-year storms” will now hit routinely — the Bank of England has warned of AI-driven meltdowns — echoing violent momentum unwinds already seen in gold, silver, and Bitcoin. [14:34]
•
The AI trade is memory — buying Micron on the dip: DRAM is in shortage with rising prices and long-term contracts, Micron’s earnings blew away estimates, and the 200-day average still points up for 85% of his portfolio while legacy software like Adobe and Salesforce is “toast.” [20:58]
•
Crypto is where the beta is for the next 12 months: Bitcoin is “the collateral of the future,” Ethereum is the one to watch after its best month in a year (+17% MTD), and tokenization is accelerating via Stripe–PayPal, JP Morgan, BlackRock, Goldman, and crypto reclassification in Japan and South Korea. [16:23]
Actionable Takeaways
1.
Treat the ~40% drawdown as a chance to add high-conviction AI names rather than a reason to exit — Visser is making small buys, including Micron back above his own exit price. [06:27]
2.
Watch the 200-day moving average: for AI and memory names it is still rising (stay involved), while for legacy software it has rolled over (“toast” — avoid). [20:15]
3.
Do your homework on crypto now — position in Ethereum and the broader ecosystem ahead of a possible Bitcoin 200-day breakout that Visser expects could pull most investors in during Q4. [16:02]

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